Rasmussen having Trump at a -11 approval rating is a notable sea change and should be pretty alarming for the most pro-Trump pollster out there. We'll see how much this fluctuates or is an anomaly, but I'm surprised to see him pushing the low 40s in that poll.
I suspect this is an outlier week because of all the recent juice. When/if the juice stops, this will go back to hellish coin flip area.
NYT/Siena polls of battleground states Trump vs Warren: Mich Trump +6 PA tied Wisc tied Fla Trump +4 NC Trump +3 Ariz Warren +2
Those are some odd polls, having Warren higher in Arizona than in Penn. and Wisconsin. I would've thought them to be reversed.
Actually, I think the polling for Arizona was good for Trump, too. Defintely a good day of polling for him.
Guess my numbers were wrong. I know I shouldn’t trust twitter. That being said, the NYT/Siena polls were conducted over the course of twelve days. The last day being October 25th.
Yes, I agree. As I've said many times, anyone who thinks they have a solid pulse on this race is deluding themselves. There's a long way to go and even the Democratic nominee isn't very clear. Hell, they can't even get a top two, as of yet. I will find it very interesting if certain trends among states continue to develop or revert back to their former selves, like Ohio continuing to turn red and Virginia becoming solidly blue, as well as Texas and Georgia being more uncertain. I do believe, though, the election will be determined by Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, if it is close.