Simmons threw shot and discus at Pearl, finishing first and second at state, respectively, during the spring, so I'm sure they kept him in good shape.
I've been around him quite a bit, talked to him a few times. Very nice kid and built like a brick wall with sneaky athleticism. I'd be shocked if he didn't pan out.
Hey now. I only see him through track meets. I'm not writing letters and shit, twittering him. I resent the slander of my good name.
I assume the kid didn't camp much? The camp hype circuit sucks if a kid plays multiple sports, or just doesn't prefer the hype train. I don't blame them. If you can play, it will work out. I'd be interested to know the % of 4 and 5* kids who don't pan out. is 50% too high of a guess? Part of it imo is the rankings based off camps with no pads or hitting. Can't really know how a kid can play until you pad him up and blow the whistle.
define "pan out." in terms of starting multiple years, it is probably over 90% for 5 stars. I know in terms of odds of being drafted, being 5 stars or 4 stars is a statistically significant difference in rate over 3 stars. that being said, of course some do not get drafted. but literally hundreds of 3 stars do not get drafted or "pan out"
if we are talking %, there is no doubt stars really do matter. nothing is guaranteed and there are many 3 and 4 stars who achieve- but stars due tend to predict success broadly.
I'm pretty sure Means was a "camp guy". Didn't have much on field success, but had really good measurables at UT over the summer. I think they knew they could be picky with WR (and thus missed on a bunch of them) because they had this guy in their back pocket. Still seemed like a MASSIVE reach at the time.
