Bama-20.5

Discussion in 'Vols Football' started by kidbourbon, Oct 15, 2012.

  1. kidbourbon

    kidbourbon Well-Known Member

    They score at least 42 on us, right? We can't stop them from scoring, can we?
     
  2. InVolNerable

    InVolNerable Fark Master Flex

    They've covered the spread 4 of the last 5 times.

    An update on my pick 'em to date: 82-55. Good for 69th overall in the Yahoo standings. My one bad week has killed me in the standings.
     
  3. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    They will run it probably every play in the second half. Saban isn't going to run it up on Dooley. And they won't risk McCarron any more injury. He'll be pulled early.

    So it is up to you as to whether that means they win by 21 or 17.
     
  4. lylsmorr

    lylsmorr Super Moderator

    I don't see how they don't cover that
     
  5. Beechervol

    Beechervol Super Moderator

    I think UT will score some points, but not nearly as many as they do.
     
  6. justingroves

    justingroves supermod

    I think Saban shuts it down after jumping out to a 28 point lead. Now, can Tennessee score 14 on bama's backups? That's the question
     
  7. justingroves

    justingroves supermod

    Patterson is good for a circus td and i believe Bray will hit one deep to Hunter. The rest depends on lane and Que/Young making it respectable on the ground.

    AJ and McCullers can stop the run for one quarter, after that it gets ugly.
     
  8. JT5

    JT5 Super Moderator

    That's why I wouldn't touch this game. I'd see this one going 49-17, but wouldn't want to take a chance on Saban taking his foot off the gas.

    I still expect Bama to cover though.
     
  9. CardinalVol

    CardinalVol Uncultured, non-diverse mod

    How bad is mccarrons injury? I know he will play but how much off this game will be just win and not get any further injuries?
     
  10. Volguy1971

    Volguy1971 Sith Lord

    In the past, I would say there is no way that we wouldn't cover an 18+ pt spread in conference, however, I don't see a scenario where Bama scores less than 52 on us.

    BAMA 55
    Vols 23
     
  11. cotton

    cotton Stand-up Philosopher

    I think I recall UT+19 at the swamp a couple of years ago being the biggest line in Tennessee history.

    Is this a record breaker?
     
  12. kidbourbon

    kidbourbon Well-Known Member

    UT+29 @ Bama last year.
     
  13. cotton

    cotton Stand-up Philosopher

    Had that one blocked from memory. Should probably reblock it.
     
  14. hohenfelsvol

    hohenfelsvol Beer run

    And people rationalize this with need more time to rebuild. Argh...
     
  15. InVolNerable

    InVolNerable Fark Master Flex

    That's a 8.5 point improvement. That's 37%. Give him time and that may eventually only be a -6.5 Alabama spread.
     
  16. hohenfelsvol

    hohenfelsvol Beer run

    My bad. When I see the math it makes more sense now. Thanks.
     
  17. CardinalVol

    CardinalVol Uncultured, non-diverse mod

    Are you factoring in the 3 point homefield differential in your analysis?
     
  18. govols182

    govols182 Honorary Mod

    burn
     
  19. kidbourbon

    kidbourbon Well-Known Member

    He wasn't. And I think it's 3.5.

    Neutral field last year: +25.5
    Neutral field this year: +24

    Improvement, baby!
     
  20. InVolNerable

    InVolNerable Fark Master Flex

    Damn you're right. And thanks KB. Better get on that winning streak, child support is expensive.
     

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