But seems like Bidens polling is either made up or screwed up so far in the democratic race. He's performed way behind his polling so far
He wasn't expected to do well in Iowa or New Hampshire. Still, primary polls have always seemed more volatile to me. General election polls tend to be steadier and there was nothing to suggest Biden was guaranteed to lose, if he's the nominee.
Not particularly. He was polling at about 19% in Iowa at the end and got about 16% of the vote, then was at about 10% in New Hampshire and got 8.5%. Not great, but in the MOE and didn't way underperform per expectations.
I'm not buying Bloomberg having any chance at the nomination. However, I am starting to think he has enough to pull in votes from others to allow Sanders a clearer path to the nomination an avoid a brokered convention.
Hillary was ahead in polling too. I don't listen to polls any longer. Uncle Joe does seem to be on heavy slide down lately.
And hillary finished within the margin of error, and won the popular vote. a poll doesn't account for delegates
He does. However, the national polling on the general election in 2016 was remarkably accurate. Where the issue was on a couple of states like Wisconsin and, I think, Pennsylvania. States Trump won and had been polling for Hillary were largely in the MOE, as well. The polls also had Trump consistently leading in the primary polls and people ignored them because they couldn't believe he was still winning despite all the shit he was saying. Like I always say, the polls aren't perfect or a be all, end all, but they are, usually, a pretty good gauge of things.
All the news stations at the beginning of election night were quoting polls and what Trump had to do to win. At the end of night the shoe was on the other foot. That's the part I remember.
It was accurate enough to serve it's purpose, largely, which was to gauge the popular vote and state votes. It's up to people to interpret the data.
Seems like things are going swimmingly for Mike Bloomberg tonight. "I’d like to talk about who we’re running against: A billionaire who calls women fat broads & horse faced lesbians, and no I’m not talking about Donald Trump, I’m talking about mayor Bloomberg." although I must say “horse faced lesbians” is an incredible line.