POLITICS Democratic Nominee 2020 Lollapalooza

Discussion in 'Politicants' started by Unimane, Feb 6, 2019.

?

Who will win the Democratic nomination for president in 2020?

  1. Biden, J

    42.1%
  2. Booker, C

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Buttigieg, P

    15.8%
  4. Castro, J

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. Clinton, H

    15.8%
  6. Harris, K

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. Klobuchar, A

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  8. Sanders, B

    10.5%
  9. Warren, E

    15.8%
  10. Yang, A

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  1. Volst53

    Volst53 Super Moderator

    But seems like Bidens polling is either made up or screwed up so far in the democratic race.

    He's performed way behind his polling so far
     
  2. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    He wasn't expected to do well in Iowa or New Hampshire. Still, primary polls have always seemed more volatile to me. General election polls tend to be steadier and there was nothing to suggest Biden was guaranteed to lose, if he's the nominee.
     
  3. Volst53

    Volst53 Super Moderator

     
  4. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    Not particularly. He was polling at about 19% in Iowa at the end and got about 16% of the vote, then was at about 10% in New Hampshire and got 8.5%. Not great, but in the MOE and didn't way underperform per expectations.
     
  5. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    I'm not buying Bloomberg having any chance at the nomination. However, I am starting to think he has enough to pull in votes from others to allow Sanders a clearer path to the nomination an avoid a brokered convention.
     
    VolDad likes this.
  6. hohenfelsvol

    hohenfelsvol Beer run

    Hillary was ahead in polling too. I don't listen to polls any longer. Uncle Joe does seem to be on heavy slide down lately.
     
  7. IP

    IP Super Moderator

    And hillary finished within the margin of error, and won the popular vote. a poll doesn't account for delegates
     
    TennTradition and Unimane like this.
  8. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    He does. However, the national polling on the general election in 2016 was remarkably accurate. Where the issue was on a couple of states like Wisconsin and, I think, Pennsylvania. States Trump won and had been polling for Hillary were largely in the MOE, as well. The polls also had Trump consistently leading in the primary polls and people ignored them because they couldn't believe he was still winning despite all the shit he was saying.

    Like I always say, the polls aren't perfect or a be all, end all, but they are, usually, a pretty good gauge of things.
     
  9. zehr27

    zehr27 8th's VIP

    He was behind Hillary in polling too.
     
  10. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    And finished behind her.
     
  11. zehr27

    zehr27 8th's VIP

    But is POTUS.
     
  12. hohenfelsvol

    hohenfelsvol Beer run

    All the news stations at the beginning of election night were quoting polls and what Trump had to do to win. At the end of night the shoe was on the other foot. That's the part I remember.
     
  13. VolDad

    VolDad Super Moderator

    I remember all of the pollsters going on TV and trying to explain why they got it so wrong.
     
  14. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    Yes, but that wasn't the discussion. The discussion was about the accuracy of the polling.
     
  15. zehr27

    zehr27 8th's VIP

    Was it accurate enough to predict who won the presidency?
     
  16. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    It was accurate enough to serve it's purpose, largely, which was to gauge the popular vote and state votes. It's up to people to interpret the data.
     
  17. IP

    IP Super Moderator

    lol

     
    NashVol11 likes this.
  18. bostonvol

    bostonvol Chieftain

    Seems like things are going swimmingly for Mike Bloomberg tonight.


    "I’d like to talk about who we’re running against: A billionaire who calls women fat broads & horse faced lesbians, and no I’m not talking about Donald Trump, I’m talking about mayor Bloomberg."

    although I must say “horse faced lesbians” is an incredible line.
     
    Last edited: Feb 19, 2020
  19. VolDad

    VolDad Super Moderator

    They also busted him big time for refusing to release women from non-disclosures.
     
  20. The Dooz

    The Dooz Super Moderator

    He appears to have brought a wallet to a gun fight.
     

Share This Page