It really is kind of amazing all 13 of them somehow got in the same book to give it a shot. Still not on same page, but at least in the same book.
"All 13." We only talk about the 13 on the same page. The colonies now part of Canada are Canada because they weren't on our page
If we're looking to 2020, then where the Senate elections are relevant, as well. 33 seats are up, with 12 of them Democratic seats and 21, likely, being Republican seats. It looks as if the Senate will be at 53-47 for Republicans after this election. Of the Democratic seats, surely, Alabama is gone. Other than that one, it will be unlikely for them to lose another seat, except perhaps Michigan and New Hampshire. Republicans may have about 4 potential losses in Colorado (likely), Iowa, North Carolina and Maine, plus, maybe, Arizona. My guess is that we end up at about 52-48 for the Republicans.
It’s very difficult to be a moderate any more. It’s difficult to have identifications with both parties simultaneously. Difficult to do those things at the polls, in normal day to day conversations, even more difficult on this board. It’s as if liberals and conservatives just grab a big stick, twirl in a circle and hit everyone around them both friend and foe. Why should a centrist give a shit about politics any longer? Why should I help either party arm their idiots to continue the idiotic [uck fay]ery that looms certain? Uncle.
NY Times had a map recently that represented the states by population units rather than by area. It was similarly interesting. This is a snapshot in time, though. 2 years is a lifetime, and there is nothing stopping Trump from rebounding in some way. Though I think part of the turn is a hangover on his very demeanor. If the economy is still growing, he's got a good shot. If it is waivering (like it was in a microscale way leading up to this year's election), he'll be vulnerable.
Take away Florida, Iowa and Arizona and the Democrat still wins. It's why I note that any predictions of an easy Trump victory are not based on reality. The margins last time in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan were razor thin. He doesn't pull the same result there and he's got a really hard road to re-election. Plus, Wisconsin and Michigan just switched to Democratic governors. This doesn't mean he's done by any means, but the map is a challenge for him or any Republican, though they are helped by the nature of the Electoral College. It's going to be an interesting race.
That’s pretty much the race. He has to win one of the three rust belts or there’s no realistic way to get to 270.
TD's predictions are terrible. He's gotten one, though very notable, prediction right in the time I've been on the site. He enjoys stirring the pot and making outlandish predictions, ones that reflect his political desires. One was bound to be right. He said this election would weild a +5 Democrat advantage, too.
Interestingly enough, if he wins both Wisconsin and Arizona, that only gets him to 269, assuming wins in Fla and NC. That means he’d have to win the Maine second congressional district to get to 270.
