Yep. It's imperative to make a move while the cupboard is still relatively full. But they won't, they'll wait til the yardarm is in the water before deciding to abandon ship.
Not a math guy and couldn't speculate what the math said there, but I am familiar enough to understand the concept of outliers. Not running there was a fool's call, the call of a coward afraid to lose.
I'm done supporting butch. Last night proved my gut feelings. As an old Olineman, when you have 6" for a touchdown and you don't go for it, you just showed those kids that you have NO confidence in them. When you keep making stupid play calling you deserve what happens.
I was interested in what you would take away from that call. It may come to summarize his entire tenure.
At least with him you had an offense that wasn't scared of its own shadow, play calling wise that is.
If Kiffin/Chaney were in their 3rd Year with this Offense... we'd have dropped about 450-500 and about 40 points yards on OU. Kiffin didn't just ease up with a 17 point lead, he relished embarrassing people.
Coin flip odds between that and FG try, so we threw a dart and it came up FG. On the plus side, we took the lead and made the dramatic comeback/collapse possible.