2015 Football Power Index is out

Tennessee getting a lot of love.

Things I noticed after a quick glance:

Tennessee ranked 13th.

Alabama predicted W-L: 8.7-3.5 vs Tennessee predicted W-L: 8.6-3.7 (10,000 simulations predict us to have basically the same record as Alabama)

% chance to win conference:
Alabama 12.9
LSU 14.4
UGA 25.5
TAMU 10.2
Ole Miss 10.2
Arkansas 5.6
Tenn 13.4
Auburn 2.7
UF 2.1
Mizzou 2.2
Miss St 0.4
USCjr 0.4
UK 0.2
Vandy 0.1

Through 10,000 simulations we are predicted as the 3rd highest to win conference.

This means absolutely nothing, but the computers seem to love us.

 

Georgia? What?

 

What's the link? Thanks

 

Is this the results versus average team thing we had last year?

 

I don't buy those numbers at all.

 

What does Phil Steele say?

 

he predicts Tenn 2nd in the east to Georgia, 19th in his power poll (25th if you factor in schedule), has you playing in the music city bowl. he doesn't have single vol's position group ranked higher than 3rd in the sec (wrers).

 

It's on ESPN. Found it on another website.

 

Yeah I've seen the rankings just not all the info you posted

 

I think that's Nate Silver/fivethirtyeight. They do the Soccer Power Index so the naming format is the same.

 

I don't believe.

 

Ohio State 1 27.1 1 16.4 11 9.5
Alabama 2 23.3 17 9.1 2 13.1
TCU 3 22.8 7 11.5 7 10.2
LSU 4 22.6 12 10.1 5 11.2
Baylor 5 21.8 2 14.6 25 7.5
Oregon 6 21.3 3 14.2 29 6.3
Notre Dame 7 20.9 6 11.7 14 9.0
Ole Miss 8 20.6 28 5.4 1 14.1
Georgia 9 20.6 5 12.1 24 7.7
Arkansas 10 20.2 11 10.3 13 9.0
Texas A&M 11 19.9 4 14.2 37 4.7
UCLA 12 19.7 9 10.5 21 8.1
USC 13 19.6 15 9.7 17 8.6
Tennessee 14 18.8 19 7.8 12 9.2
Oklahoma 15 18.3 14 9.7 23 8.0
Michigan State 16 17.4 18 7.9 16 8.8
Stanford 17 17.0 20 7.5 18 8.2
Auburn 18 16.9 22 7.2 15 8.9
Clemson 19 15.3 45 3.3 4 11.6
Arizona State 20 14.6 42 3.8 8 9.9
Florida State 21 13.9 31 5.0 20 8.1
Mississippi State 22 13.2 24 7.0 34 5.7
Georgia Tech 23 13.0 8 10.5 50 2.6
Missouri 24 12.9 36 4.4 26 7.4
Michigan 25 12.3 27 5.6 28 6.6
Virginia Tech 26 12.2 79 -1.2 3 12.0


http://espn.go.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/102380/102380

 

Auburn is low, but it makes sense that the East team are inflated... they play in the east

 

Ignoring our DE's as anything but the best tandem in the conference is silly. Our WRs and DE's are as good as anyone in the conference.

 

He ranks the dline as a whole 7th in the conference.

 

if ours is 7th, then the interior just completely sucks, because we're the best on the edges. I don't believe the interior is bad enough to drop us that low and may very well be a strength on this team.

 

On the other hand he doesn't have a unit ranked lower than 8th (oline). He does rank Butch 11th.

 

OLine is probably too high, and Butch only bests Vandy's situation.

 

He also has Floridia and Kentucky lower which seems resonable

 

Doesn't to me.