No. Surely you can see the difference between not considering something a "gaurenteed loss" and actually predicting it to be a win.
Likely loss: Alabama Should be battles: Georgia, Arkansas (both at home, which helps) Should beat, but make me nervous given the lack of delivery in some "should win" games previously: Oklahoma, Florida, Missouri Should beat, but loss is on the table: South Carolina
I guarantee they will lose to one of those teams i mentioned if they lose 2-3 games. Any loss to those not mentioned should result in Lyle packing his bags.
I fully expect to beat South Carolina. They scare me in the way that Utah State scared me this year. A loss is on the table but it really shouldn't happen and I don't expect it to.
Sept. 5 Bowling Green Falcons LP Field, Nashville, TN Sept. 12 Oklahoma Sooners Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN Sept. 19 Western Carolina Catamounts Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN Sept. 26 Florida Gators Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL Oct. 3 Arkansas Razorbacks Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN Oct. 10 Georgia Bulldogs Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN Oct. 17 --- Open Date --- --- Oct. 24 Crimson Tide at Alabama Crimson Tide Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL Oct. 31 Kentucky Wildcats Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY Nov. 7 South Carolina Gamecocks Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN Nov. 14 North Texas Mean Green (HC) Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN Nov. 21 Missouri Tigers Faurot Field, Columbia, MO Nov. 28 Vanderbilt Commodores Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN Should be wins: BG, WC, NT, Vandy, Ky, USC, UF (regardless of past history) 7 Whats left: UGA, Mizzou, Arky, OU - Given the rosters fielded no reason UT shouldn't get 2 of those. After that: Bama - don't think we have the roster yet given it being on the road.
Breaking this down further, I am totally fine with a performance that looks like Likely losses: 0-1 Should be battles: 1-1 Should beat but make me nervous: 2-1 Should beat but possible loss: 1-0 All others: 5-0 That makes for 9-3 and is a completely fine season. That said, if we get swept by the UGA/Arky set OR beat one of them but go 1-2 against UF/OU/Mizzou, I'm not going to totally freak out. It would still represent a two-game improvement over last year and a win over at least two somebodies we haven't beaten in a while. It doesn't say "championships are coming to UT" but it says things are still improving, and it projects enough strength that we should be able to keep recruiting at this rate, and we'll see if we take another step forward in 2016. If we go 1-4 against UGA/Arky/UF/OU/Mizzou, then I'm pretty pissed. But 9-3 really should be doable.
I don't know guys, this class will help, but not as much as in two years. We will be deeper with talent, but I cannot see better than 8-4. Talent alone cannot overcome bad decisions and poor schemes. See Mark Richt.
I just moved the clock forward a bit, fellas. This is all hinging on DeBord's potential hire, of course.
He's getting 3 more years, the way he is recruiting, barring a total collapse (like 4 or 5 wins going forward).
Should good recruiting be a mitigating factor in on field performance evaluation? Starting next year I'd almost argue for the opposite.