POLITICS Polls

Discussion in 'Politicants' started by fl0at_, Jun 18, 2019.

  1. NorrisAlan

    NorrisAlan Founder of the Mike Honcho Fan Club

    Yeah, a 7pt gap in Florida? Wow. But who knows right now, really.
     
  2. CardinalVol

    CardinalVol Uncultured, non-diverse mod

    I feel like they got Michigan and Florida backward on the chart.

    That's much closer than other polls I have seen.
     
  3. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    Florida will be very interesting in the number of new voters with the felon voting act. That's hundreds of thousands of possible new voters. Do they vote? Many are poorer people of color, so does this bode well for Biden? If they do, would the numbers matter more than just at the margins? Kind of an unknown out there.
     
  4. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    I also don't buy the +7 for Florida with a +2 for Michigan for Biden. Michigan goes blue well before Florida.
     
  5. Volst53

    Volst53 Super Moderator

    Trump is losing support of seniors the most while gaining support with people of color and younger voters.

    He has to flip the senior trend to win
     
  6. Volst53

    Volst53 Super Moderator

    I'd say that's the only way you can explain the Florida poll
     
  7. gcbvol

    gcbvol Fabulous Moderator

    Not sure how much of an impact they will have, but this is why DeSantis has been fighting so hard to limit their voting. Florida is typically a close vote so a weighted shift in electorate could swing it.
     
  8. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    Trump gaining ground back in polling.
     
  9. emainvol

    emainvol Administrator

    Wait is he gaining ground back in the fake polls or the real ones? It's hard to keep up
     
  10. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    First one, then the other.
     
  11. emainvol

    emainvol Administrator

    Did you include the spring 8th Maxim political forum poll that show Trump ahead 90-10?
     
  12. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    I'm also factoring in the survey of 3 people here that said they weren't voting any different.
     
    emainvol likes this.
  13. emainvol

    emainvol Administrator

    Solid. If you need any help with the modeling I have a graphing calculator

    Needs new batteries though
     
  14. zehr27

    zehr27 8th's VIP

    Texas Instruments?
     
  15. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    I'm not sure he's gaining. I check them out religiously and there's always some variance between polls, but Trump has pushed up maybe a point or two. However, this has a lot to do with the polling agency's timing of the release.

    Typically, I try to gauge the movement by comparing the specific polls to their own last polls. Some of them have clear biases, but seeing how they move the numbers between their own polling gives a decent picture.
     
  16. emainvol

    emainvol Administrator

    TI-84 Plus

    Pretty sure that bad boy was banned when I was in school
     
    zehr27 likes this.
  17. IP

    IP Super Moderator

    The crippling of the USPS is still a maturing story. I am curious to see what polls show in a few weeks as people are no longer getting their medications or able to send/receive business-related mail in a timely fashion. USPS is the "last mile" carrier for much of the US, even if you use UPS or Fed Ex. I.e., this is devastating to rural communities. I also thought purposely obstructing the mail was a federal crime, but I guess the rule of law is meaningless these days.
     
    NorrisAlan likes this.
  18. IP

    IP Super Moderator

    To be clear, this USPS slow down will kill people eventually if it has not already. This is a constitutionally mandated service.
     
  19. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    1. Everything, EVERYTHING, he does is self-serving.

    2. His supporters won't care, as long as it benefits him. They've long since placed their primary loyalty to him over the benefit of the country.

    This should be easy. It's the most egregious attempt to manipulate an election since Jim Crow days and admittedly so.

    My guess is this will linger long enough before people back down, but only after long enough to create complications in too narrow a time frame to fix. So, they get to say they didn't affect the mail in vote in the end, but, in all practicality did.
     
  20. NorrisAlan

    NorrisAlan Founder of the Mike Honcho Fan Club

    This USPS thing has me actually calling my Congressman and Senators tomorrow, for what good it will do. It is, without a doubt, the most egregious thing I have seen in my lifetime when it comes to voting.
     
    Unimane likes this.

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