POLITICS Polls

Discussion in 'Politicants' started by fl0at_, Jun 18, 2019.

  1. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    Weird week.

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  2. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    Rasmussen having Trump at a -11 approval rating is a notable sea change and should be pretty alarming for the most pro-Trump pollster out there. We'll see how much this fluctuates or is an anomaly, but I'm surprised to see him pushing the low 40s in that poll.
     
  3. IP

    IP Super Moderator

    I suspect this is an outlier week because of all the recent juice. When/if the juice stops, this will go back to hellish coin flip area.
     
  4. bostonvol

    bostonvol Chieftain

    NYT/Siena polls of battleground states

    Trump vs Warren:
    Mich Trump +6
    PA tied
    Wisc tied
    Fla Trump +4
    NC Trump +3
    Ariz Warren +2
     
  5. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    Those are some odd polls, having Warren higher in Arizona than in Penn. and Wisconsin. I would've thought them to be reversed.
     
  6. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    Actually, I think the polling for Arizona was good for Trump, too. Defintely a good day of polling for him.
     
  7. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    You sure about these? I see Trump +1 v Warren in Arizona.

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  8. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    Here is Penn and Mich.


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  9. bostonvol

    bostonvol Chieftain

    Guess my numbers were wrong. I know I shouldn’t trust twitter. That being said, the NYT/Siena polls were conducted over the course of twelve days. The last day being October 25th.
     
  10. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

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  11. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    Not sure I trust Washington Post's methodology here.
     
  12. IP

    IP Super Moderator

    Probably way too much weight given to the large cities.
     
  13. TennTradition

    TennTradition Super Moderator

    yeah that looks like shit
     
  14. Volst53

    Volst53 Super Moderator

    Yeah that looks like they’re just trying to keep Clinton from joining the race
     
  15. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    Now that is an interesting thought.
     
  16. IP

    IP Super Moderator

    Oh. Well good on them, then.
     
  17. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

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  18. fl0at_

    fl0at_ Humorless, asinine, joyless pr*ck

    State by state polls show a much closer, no-one has majority, race.
     
  19. Unimane

    Unimane Kill "The Caucasian"

    Yes, I agree. As I've said many times, anyone who thinks they have a solid pulse on this race is deluding themselves. There's a long way to go and even the Democratic nominee isn't very clear. Hell, they can't even get a top two, as of yet.

    I will find it very interesting if certain trends among states continue to develop or revert back to their former selves, like Ohio continuing to turn red and Virginia becoming solidly blue, as well as Texas and Georgia being more uncertain. I do believe, though, the election will be determined by Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, if it is close.
     
  20. Volst53

    Volst53 Super Moderator

    The dems don't seem like they have a clear plan or message.

    Trump wins unless the economy tanks.
     
    NorrisAlan likes this.

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